Skip to main content
KalshiOpenEnds in 8 months

Will exactly 4 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Outcomes
4
Mid
17.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 4
Mid
83.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$71
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$1.3K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution

If the number of House Democratic members that lose their primary in 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typically an early Tuesday of November; and lose the Democratic primary for that election to another candidate.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents