Outcomes
China
Mid
10.5%Bid
10.0%Ask
12.0%Spread
2.0%Not China
Mid
89.5%Bid
88.0%Ask
90.0%Spread
2.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$10.3K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.