Outcomes
2.5%
Mid
82.0%Bid
80.0%Ask
84.0%Spread
4.0%Not 2.5%
Mid
18.0%Bid
16.0%Ask
20.0%Spread
4.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$21.5K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$164.1K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:01 AM
Rules & Resolution
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2025, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.