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KalshiOpenEnds in 5 months

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2026?

Outcomes
1.0%
Mid
90.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 1.0%
Mid
9.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$421
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents