Outcomes
Peter Thiel
Mid
56.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not Peter Thiel
Mid
44.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$8.5K
Open Interest
$923
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:10 AM
Rules & Resolution
If Peter Thiel announces they're moving away from California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
The announcement must indicate an intent to change primary residence, not temporary travel or maintaining multiple residences.