Outcomes
John Thune
Mid
8.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not John Thune
Mid
92.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$9.0K
Open Interest
$472
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:10 AM
Rules & Resolution
If Elon Musk backs a challenger to John Thune before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution Sources
- ABC
- Axios
- Ballotpedia
- Bloomberg News
- CBS
- CNN
- Energy Information Administration
- Federal Election Commission
- Fox News
- MSNBC
- New York Times
- official campaign websites
- official social media accounts verified by the platform
- Politico
- Reuters
- Semafor
- state election authorities
- the Associated Press
- The Wall Street Journal
- The Washington Post