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PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Outcomes
December 31, 2026
Mid
67.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not December 31, 2026
Mid
32.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$5
Liquidity
$2.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 8:50 AM
Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").

A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.