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KalshiOpenEnds in 10 months

Will at least 5 governors lose re-election in 2026?

Outcomes
5 or more
Mid
7.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 5 or more
Mid
92.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$161
Last Updated
2/19/26, 4:10 PM
Rules & Resolution

If at least 5 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents