KalshiOpenEnds in 8 months
Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?
Outcomes
7 or more
Mid
38.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not 7 or more
Mid
61.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$418
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$10.2K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution
If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typically an early Tuesday of November; and lose the Republican primary for that election to another candidate.