Outcomes
grok-4.1-thinking
Mid
0.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not grok-4.1-thinking
Mid
99.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$93
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$717
Last Updated
2/19/26, 10:50 AM
Rules & Resolution
If grok-4.1-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Feb 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.