KalshiOpenEnds in 8 months
Will exactly 1 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?
Outcomes
1
Mid
4.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not 1
Mid
95.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$3.1K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:20 PM
Rules & Resolution
If the number of House Democratic members that lose their primary in 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typically an early Tuesday of November; and lose the Democratic primary for that election to another candidate.