Outcomes
Yes
Mid
1.6%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
98.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$1.3K
Liquidity
$6.9K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 (see https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 5% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,751,467,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).