Outcomes
-0.5%
Mid
99.5%Bid
99.0%Ask
-Not -0.5%
Mid
0.5%Bid
-Ask
1.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$4.7K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$96.7K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than -0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2025, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.