Outcomes
Barack Obama
Mid
7.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Barack Obama
Mid
91.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$12
Liquidity
$631.9K
Open Interest
$58.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 3:40 AM
Rules & Resolution
If Barack Obama is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.