Outcomes
Yes
Mid
14.5%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
85.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$1.4K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 5:40 AM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.