Outcomes
Yes
Mid
17.5%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
82.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$291
Liquidity
$5.0K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:30 PM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.