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KalshiOpenEnds in 10 days

Will Trump say "Third Term" before Mar 1, 2026?

Outcomes
Third Term
Mid
27.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not Third Term
Mid
72.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$121
Liquidity
$14.4K
Open Interest
$5.5K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:10 AM
Rules & Resolution

If Third Term, or a plural or possessive form of Third Term, is stated by Donald Trump before Mar 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents