Outcomes
Before 2027
Mid
94.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before 2027
Mid
5.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$52
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$15.7K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If Anthropic releases A model called Claude 5 or greater before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.