Outcomes
Before 2027
Mid
41.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before 2027
Mid
58.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$6.1K
Liquidity
$108.6K
Open Interest
$39.2K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:20 AM
Rules & Resolution
If the United States agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An agreement also made with other countries (i.e. multilaterally) is still encompassed if the United States participates. "A new Iran-US nuclear deal" means a formal written agreement signed by authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran that (1) imposes verifiable restrictions on Iran's nuclear program, including limits on uranium enrichment, centrifuge numbers, or nuclear facility operations, AND (2) provides for the lifting, suspension, or modification of at least one US economic sanction on Iran in exchange for Iran's nuclear commitments.