Outcomes
Q4 2024
Mid
0.5%Bid
-Ask
1.0%Not Q4 2024
Mid
99.5%Bid
99.0%Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$1
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$17.2K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:20 PM
Rules & Resolution
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.