Outcomes
Q2 2025
Mid
1.5%Bid
1.0%Ask
2.0%Spread
1.0%Not Q2 2025
Mid
98.5%Bid
98.0%Ask
99.0%Spread
1.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$233
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$23.5K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:20 PM
Rules & Resolution
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q2 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.