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PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Outcomes
Yes
Mid
51.5%
Bid
51.0%
Ask
52.0%
Spread
1.0%
No
Mid
48.5%
Bid
48.0%
Ask
49.0%
Spread
1.0%
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$53.6K
Liquidity
$102.4K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 10:41 AM
Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.