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PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Outcomes
Yes
Mid
35.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
No
Mid
64.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$17
Liquidity
$2.5K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:20 AM
Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.