Outcomes
Yes
Mid
7.5%Bid
7.5%Ask
7.6%Spread
0.1%No
Mid
92.5%Bid
92.4%Ask
92.5%Spread
0.1%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$1.7K
Liquidity
$172.8K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:21 PM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.