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KalshiOpenEnds in 27 days

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in February 2026?

Outcomes
3.3
Mid
2.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 3.3
Mid
98.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:30 PM
Rules & Resolution

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending February 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents