KalshiOpenEnds in 47 months
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Outcomes
Before 2030
Mid
8.5%Bid
6.0%Ask
8.0%Spread
2.0%Not Before 2030
Mid
91.5%Bid
92.0%Ask
94.0%Spread
2.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$28
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$14.7K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.