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KalshiOpenEnds in 22 months

Which countries will have recessions?

Outcomes
Japan
Mid
37.5%
Bid
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Ask
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Not Japan
Mid
62.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$4.4K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution

If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents