What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

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Markets: 7/7Volume (24h): $30Liquidity: $46.6K

KalshiOpen

YES22%NO78%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$30

KalshiOpen

YES15%NO85%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$0

KalshiOpen

YES38%NO62%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$0

KalshiOpen

YES15%NO85%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$0

KalshiOpen

YES6%NO94%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$0

KalshiOpen

YES10%NO90%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$0

KalshiOpen

YES3%NO97%

Ends in 4 months

24h Vol$0

	Source			Outcomes	Status
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$30	YES22%NO78%	Open
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$0	YES15%NO85%	Open
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$0	YES38%NO62%	Open
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$0	YES15%NO85%	Open
Will the tariff rate on China imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$0	YES6%NO94%	Open
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$0	YES10%NO90%	Open
Will the tariff rate on China imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?	Kalshi	Ends in 4 months	$0	YES3%NO97%	Open