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KalshiOpenEnds in 10 months

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

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International

Markets: 17/17Volume (24h): $76Liquidity: $0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?

KalshiOpen

YES26%NO74%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$44

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?

KalshiOpen

YES23%NO77%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$32

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?

KalshiOpen

YES7%NO93%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?

KalshiOpen

YES20%NO80%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?

KalshiOpen

YES6%NO94%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?

KalshiOpen

YES3%NO97%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?

KalshiOpen

YES3%NO97%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?

KalshiOpen

YES4%NO96%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?

KalshiOpen

YES4%NO96%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?

KalshiOpen

YES14%NO86%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?

KalshiOpen

YES8%NO92%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?

KalshiOpen

YES9%NO91%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?

KalshiOpen

YES6%NO94%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?

KalshiOpen

YES35%NO65%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?

KalshiOpen

YES10%NO90%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?

KalshiOpen

YES12%NO88%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?

KalshiOpen

YES13%NO87%

Ends in 10 months

24h Vol$0

	Source			Outcomes	Status
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$44	YES26%NO74%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$32	YES23%NO77%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES7%NO93%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES20%NO80%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES6%NO94%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES3%NO97%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES3%NO97%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES4%NO96%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES4%NO96%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES14%NO86%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES8%NO92%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES9%NO91%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES6%NO94%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES35%NO65%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES10%NO90%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES12%NO88%	Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?	Kalshi	Ends in 10 months	$0	YES13%NO87%	Open

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