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Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?
Outcomes
North Korea
Mid
4.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not North Korea
Mid
96.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$31
Last Updated
2/19/26, 2:20 PM
Rules & Resolution
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.